I never really see Amazon as cheap, I see them as convenience. The main benefits being:
Quick delivery
Ease of finding anything on a single site
When I’ve bought something like a garlic crusher on Amazon, it’s been about twice the price of the same item in a physical store, but I buy it on Amazon for the convenience.
I’ve been researching the company, and I didn’t understand it as well as I should have. Now I’m thinking what’s the right entry point, but these are the most surprising aspects of the company I learnt:
Focus. A large supermarket can have over 30,000 shopkeeping units (SKUs), but Costco has only 3,700 now. It focuses its buying power and gets better prices from suppliers as a results, and savings can be passed on to the customers.
It offers an IRL freemium / subscription service. Costco operates warehouses, and only members can shop. In the US, the yearly membership starts at $60. Executive membership costs $120 / year, and it gives you an extra 2% off your shopping. Executive members tend to spend more and make up just under 39% of members. That reminded me a bit of Amazon Prime.
Not really an e-commerce company. It’s started selling over the internet, and It does same-day delivery to US customers who live within a 20-minute drive of its warehouses, but internet sales still account for only 4% of annual revenues.
The most meaningful data for me is the growth of the memberships:
(source)
While the lack of e-commerce is something I dislike, this remains an interesting company on my watchlist.
Anyone got any Costco shares? I’m considering buying some but thinking I might try and wait for a better entry point. Any thoughts on whether it’s worth just diving in or should I wait?
I have held Costco for a few years. This writeup probably convinced me - I like the model Amazon-Prime-like membership and loyalty. I think that stock price movements are more or less random to the average retail investor like me, so I don’t really have a view on entry points.
I personally have a membership and love it, it just seems to be up a bit at the moment and I’m thinking it might be worth hanging on for a better entry point.
Costco have incredible membership loyalty and have managed to find the price point where it’s as much an IQ test as it is a decision.
I don’t however like how much the stock has been riding up of late. Simply Wall Street have it slight under valued by ~15% but I don’t like the P/E of 41.
Thanks Neil, I would be more comfortable with it being in the £400’s just sitting slightly too high for me, wish I had invested sooner! Only hope is it comes down at some point.
I’ve found a few comaknies over the years that I wanted to buy but just couldn’t justify the price. It’s a shame but paying for steak and getting a kebab isn’t good your pocket!
The sector has to work against the ongoing supply chain issues and 7%+ inflation. If they get it right they could justify their valuation but if not it’ll tumble back down to the $400’s quickly
I think we’re signing for the same hymn sheet. Back at $400ish is probably worth a serious look.
I often wonder if I should log the investments I don’t make and see if there is anything instructive - did I get it right or wrong and what can I learn form the decisions .
I almost bought ITM power at it’s high of over £5 but decided not to buy and then the drop came and I got the shares at £2.50. So glad I waited but it’s that whole FOMO, you think should I just go for it! Patience is a virtue as they say.