I enjoyed Terry Smithās quote about this: āA company which feels it has to define the purpose of Hellmannās mayonnaise has in our view clearly lost the plot.ā
Not advising you sell, but just to point out my example isnāt about stocks underperforming the market, itās saying most underperform 1 month treasuries (i.e. cash) that is to say they destroy value over their lifetime.
That is technically correct, but they historically went up by less than if you did nothing with your money and just left it in the bank.
I bought Ā£3k of Tanfield Group in 2005 and Iāve just sold them for Ā£20 so that I could close my Halifax accountā¦
Is it though? Whatās the time horizon for the āgoing upā statement?
Iām actually interested what youāve found since Iām just aware that most index performance comes from few companies and that after just 20-50 years most indexes lose significant (most) numbers of members to stock price decline, bankruptcy or takeovers.
This is true for all indices.
I agree with the sentiment and the data demonstrates just how few companies actually drive aggregate returns. Losing absolute value from a peak is different to lifetime buy and hold value, so depending on what you are looking for both are correct.
For example many stocks may have paid out more dividends in their lifetime than their original IPO price, which means even when the stock price goes to zero they could technically have āgone upā in the sense that the company created some return.
Iād say that lifetime buy and hold value compared to cash is the most charitable assessment that can be made and even that shows most median stocks destroying value. For other less charitable timeframes and comparitors the picture can be much bleaker.
This thread makes me feel like I should just give up on the whole of FT Sounds like it loses money for us in the long run.
If only there was a product that buys you the whole marketā¦
I know I was just joking I am always amazed at how many stocks there really are out there, bloody thousands. I would be interested to know how many, that the average investor on this site like me, has even heard of the ones that fail.
I mean by that, that I agree with the above being true but most here will invest in big stable companies and the fact X% stocks failing probably wonāt affect those who buy the stable ones and ETF/funds as much as those who play with random and penny stocks.
Of course 100% all stocks can and do go bust but the risk factor is very different between certain types of stocks.
Edit - I should add this thread does not say stocks or ETFs for example and I have a heavy loss or 2 on ETFās at present.
The only thing I sold at a proper loss was Cineworld. I put the remaining money into an index fund, which is minus now in the current market. But I believe I will recoup my loss in a few years or so & have gains following that.
I do have 2/3 stocks that Iāll be glad to get rid offā¦ But I believe they will recover in years to comeā¦ so Iām holding on.
Very interesting. I always thought DCA was your best friend.
Only sold 2 in my SIPP, one for very small loss the other 40% profit.
DCA is not the same thing as doubling down on a losing position to try and bail yourself out.
DCA is making regular investments of the same amount whether the price is up or down to even out fluctuations. Itās something you would have intended to do from the start and is a valid strategy, especially if you get paid monthly and you want to build a position over time. The buy the dip mentality is more about trying to rescue a falling position by pumping more money in and often is driven by fear of being wrong and making a loss rather than an actual strategy
Have a read through one of the penny stock threads (e.g Cellular goods) you will see examples of people pumping more and more money into a falling stock to lower the average. They may have a lower average, but they end up with way too much money on the line in a stock that may well end up bankrupt and worth zero (apologies to anyone who invested in CBX)
Whatever you sold Cineworld at, it was a good decision (and thatās from someone who had Ā£15k with an average in @ Ā£2.24 and sold @ Ā£1.37!).
They were unlucky with the timing of the Regal purchase but going 100% cash for Cineplex before Regal was integrated was idiocy. $4.8 billion of debt on a copy hardly in profit means only one thing when their Canadian court appeal goes against them.
Thank you for your response it all makes sense.
You sold Poly? Damn, I wouldāve doubled down when it hit the bottom. I didnāt double down because I didnāt already have any stocks in them, but I bought it in at the bottom just before primary purchasing was stopped.
I only sell at heavy losses if I donāt think thereās a chance of recovery, which is to say quite rarely.
Yea. Because of the Russia thing I thought it could get delisted. I still own Ā£IEER and trading is suspended on this one.
Luckily I only one 1 share of it.
Even if it got delisted, thatās not to say it wouldnāt have been later relisted - at a point then where all UK investors could once more buy again, which would likely drive price up. And as itās not actually a Russian company, thereās very little risk of it, or its deposits, being nationalised by the Russian state. The risk of going into administration is still present, and evermore so given the current climate, but still appears highly unlikely. To (re)buy at the bottom, the gamble that is, seem(s/ed) a good one to go for.
Aye I have some HRUB and EVR. Both of which have been suspended, but I bought near the bottom so Iām hopeful once primary trading recommences.
Is that the case though?
I feel that āis my Ā£100 best invested elsewhereā doesnt adequately consider the current share holding.
Perhaps the question, in my mind, is ādoes owning x amount of shares in this company value for my Ā£100 or is there better value elsewhere.ā
Im new and just thanking outloud
One I did sell in the end was $ARVL. I got given $10 free money on another platform for filling out a survey.
I spent the lot on $ARVL while it was near the bottom.
It kept dipping and I thought āsell now, ask questions laterā.
The good news is I also held it and sold it for a profit back when the early electric car hype back when $LCID was high as well.
On average I still came out a winner.
Ive also taken profit on $LCID and $TSLA so it canāt be that bad.
Nowadays Iāve got shares in the ETF $ECAR as the industry moves into a different era.
When I say different era, what I mean is I think the early stage hype of the electric car industry is waning. I think we will now see which companies will become mature companies in this industry and which ones wonāt.
Some will truly succeed and some might not. Also some legacy car manufacturers like ford nowadays are showing big promise in the EV sector
I cut all losses at -10% against my entry. Sometimes sooner, depending on my risk.
Hereās an interesting chart about loss vs gainā¦
So, if you lose 75%ā¦ you need a 300% gain to recoup that loss. 300% gains arenāt very common, at least not quickly. So youāll be sitting on dead money for years waiting to break even.
BUT, lose 10%, and you can recover quickly.