Too much value not to post
Remember these insights get replaced the moment a new set of insights are sent out, so no point looking at previous posts here
Which is why it is nice to post screenshots of the highlights and links to the articles.
Yesterdayâs links:
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/recession-trading-taking-a-look-at-the-rom/
https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/an-under-the-radar-biopharma-play/
It seems like he has changed yesterdays âunder the radar biopharmaâ only for membership since yesterday, so here are a few screenshots:
Today:
Todayâs articles are not accessible, but from the title of the last one we can probably guess that Jon is âbullishâ on EV stocksâŠ
Any thoughts on Alnylam Pharmaceuticals? (ALNY)
Just the write-up heâs written on Blackstone is worthy enough.
I mean, to even have inside knowledge to that degree heâs written above on Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, is pretty awesome. To have any idea at all on investing in a bio/pharma company youâd need to value the company and find the risk/reward entry. Itâs such a specialist area.
I donât have any thoughts but it features as a top 10 holding in one of my favourite trusts EWI. Also a smaller holding in SMT. If John is backing it along with these managers then the company must have something revolutionary about it
Heâs just shorted SPY,TLT and NVID but gone long AMZN, NFLX and DIS
Why did he short NVDIA when he said âitâs the one tech stock I would buy on dipsâ a few days ago
Not to mention saying âbuy everything on dipsâ and then shorting SPY? Heâs shorting while he waits for the dip?
Quite the contradiction indeed. Iâll post the positions in the morning once theyâre published
Iâd guess heâs shorting in expectation of a dip to which he will then say to buy in again since he talks about this huge economic recovery. But still saying buy NVIDIA one day then shorting it the next is very contradictory lol.
Although saying that the S&P did dip towards the end of US trading today so maybe there is another dip coming lol.
What was the size of the short? Could he not be using it to hedge?
Probably a hedge. Iâll check open positions in the morning. Should make better sense hopefully
Usually a hedge against the portfolio.
Risk On
(NVDA) 3/$495-$500 call spread
(AMZN) 3/ $2,940-$2,950 call spread
(NFLX) 3/ $510-$515 call spread
(FCX) 2/$28-$31 calls spread
(XME) 3/$31-$34 call spread
(TLT) 3/$147-$150 put spread
(TLT) 3/$146-$149 put spread
(DIS) 3/$170-$180 call spread
Risk Off
(NVDA) 3/ $590-$595 put spread
(SPY) 3/$405-$410 put spread
Going back to the bubble indicators, any thoughts on Michaelâs Howellâs price-liquidity model?
Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital Ltd. in London argues that earnings and sales multiples donât work at a macro market level, even if they do for stockpickers. Howell points out that markets are frequently characterized by a dominant financial cycle, which, in turn, âis driven by shifts in liquidity and in investorsâ risk appetite.â This leads to a search for a broad measure of liquidity; when prices are high compared to liquidity, that is a clue that risk appetite has become excessive.
On this basis, the market looked as expensive in terms of liquidity in 2000 as it did in terms of earnings, while Howellâs measure also produced a good warning that risk appetite was getting out of control before the global financial crisis eight years later. Now it suggests that global risk appetite is roughly back at the top of its range for the post-crisis decade but no more than that, even as earnings multiples suggest that the market is screeching toward a repeat of 2000.On this view, the danger at this point isnât of risk appetite bubbling over, but of liquidity being allowed to stop too quickly.
Commentary comes from John Authersâ newsletter in Bloomberg.
The death of passive investing sends a big message about the environment over the next threeâish years.
I swear, Iâd like my time back from having to pay so much attention
For passive investors, it is pretty much a case of, pay into whatever is cheap that particular month and trim anything that has grown. Which is not so passive
Goodness. Come on FreeTrade, letâs get all available assets available in ISAâs and some kind of M1 style basic tools.
One thing to consider though⊠Regardless of the environment, what is an active hedge fund manager going to say about passive investing?
If everyone invested passively heâd be out of business. Itâs as biased as you can get!