AMA with the Acquired podcast šŸŽ™ļø

Thanks Lewis! Re: Monzo and other challenger banks entering the USā€¦ unclear. Weā€™ve looked at this a bit at Wave. The issue is regulatory barriers for new banks is SO much harder in the US than the UK. Which is why most new finch companies getting started here in the US arenā€™t technically ā€œbanksā€ (e.g. Robinhood, etc). Some people are thinking that by starting in the UK and getting established itā€™ll then be easier for challenger banks to hop across the pond to the US. But Iā€™ll believe US regulators allowing that when it actually happens, haha.

3 Likes

This is going to sound very boring, but I think with the ā€œplatform warsā€ being settled for now, itā€™s a lot about bringing technology that we all take for granted to multi-billion dollar industries that are late adopters.

We had a trillion dollars of value created by the PC, the internet, and mobile. Iā€™m not sure another one is going to happen in the next 5 years. BUT - if you look at businesses like Convoy, Flexport, and even Airbnb to some extent, thereā€™s a ton of ā€œobjects in the real worldā€ businesses that are going to see lower transaction costs and reduced friction due to industry-specific technology creating new value.

5 Likes

I donā€™t know a ton here, but my answer is, ā€œvery very earlyā€. I also think itā€™s important to remember that there is HUGE capex costs in rolling out 5G since they are all new antennas and need to be much denser than previous iterations of the technology, so itā€™s going to take forever to pay back the investment.

And geopolitically, I donā€™t know :slight_smile:

2 Likes

Amazing story. :slight_smile: Howā€™s the lifestyle in Seattle compared to the Bay Area? Are you guys more relaxed, hanging out at Starbucks?

Iā€™ve spent some time in San Francisco when I worked at Google in the ancient times.

1 Like

I was just chatting about this with friends today. Americans love their credit cards, and Monzo doesnā€™t have one in the UK. Itā€™s not their core competence. There might be a product barrier for Monzo as well.

Ye thatā€™s why Iā€™m looking at the Tower REITā€™s as well :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

Biased here, but itā€™s fantastic. Thereā€™s an enormous amount of smart tech people from the 2 most valuable companies in the world (Amazon, Microsoft), but on the other hand, thereā€™s a lot of other stuff too. If you walk into a coffee shop, you are unlikely to hear 3 conversations about raising a seed round.

That said, I also love the bay area, and thereā€™s no denying the one-of-a-kind value that the network effects and density of talent bring.

1 Like

Loving the idea of having tech around, but also not living in a bubble. London is that kind of place, although can be a little frantic.

Haha, love this!

  1. Basically the same as I do now, except Iā€™d buy a Tesla and stay at nicer places when we go on vacation. Stewart Butterfield had a great quote on this: The 3 Levels of Wealth

  2. Plan not to have kids. Then push myself and my partners at Wave to invest in a couple more companies per year. Worry less about deal price and more about intrinsic motivations of the founders. There is nothing more fulfilling than working side-by-side with great entrepreneurs to make a dent in the world. (I assume outside of raising children ā€“ obviously I donā€™t have those yet!)

  3. That we didnā€™t get to record more Acquired episodes. :wink: Just kiddingā€¦ I honestly donā€™t think Iā€™d have any major ones. If I hadnā€™t married my wife or left my previous venture firm to start Wave those would have been the biggest.

2 Likes

Great question. The whole venture model is really predicated on asking the very question, ā€œWhy is it okay to take a loss right now?ā€

Almost all venture-backed companies arenā€™t generating enough free cash flow (if any), so they raise money to be able to operate in the red b/c thereā€™s a pot of gold at the end.

The conditions required to allow this are:

  • The market will be enormous in the future
  • We need to grow as quickly as possible to beat competitors
  • Especially if there is a winner-take-all dynamic
  • We will be very profitable eventually

It is a newer phenomenon for this to extend into ā€œmatureā€ companies, especially ones that go public. Effectively, it is just the public joining in on the speculation that private investors have been doing for a long time, and she same sort of analysis should be applied.

That said, thereā€™s generally less growth available after a company is mature (great would be doubling every year, whereas a startup you want to triple or quadruple every year), so investors should also be mindful that the growth rates will continue to decline in the future.

4 Likes

When they go public or get acquired! :wink:

2 Likes

Will you chaps do any topical series again, similar to the Chinese tech companies?

If yes, what would be the topic? I hope fintech. :wink:

1 Like

If you are accredited, there are lots of startups in the podcasting space! Glow.fm is doing monetization, Chartable is doing analytics, there are many content houses, and companies like Breaker are tackling improving the player.

If you are looking to invest in public companies, there isnā€™t a ā€œpure playā€ that I know of. Here are some companies that have ā€œpodcast exposureā€ in their basket of business lines.

  • Spotify is getting more an more into podcasting, and accounts for 5-10% of podcast listening right now
  • Apple is reportedly financing original shows
  • I Heart Media is doing a lot in podcasting, and just went public

That said, I think itā€™s too small of a slice of any of these businessā€™s ā€œpiesā€ right now to make that a reasonable thing to bet on.

3 Likes

On your own investing-related podcast, itā€™s noisy out there, so Iā€™d make sure you have a ā€œhookā€ on the format or unique access to information or guests thatā€™ll get people to pay attention!

2 Likes

Thank you for these insights and the advice on my investig podcast idea!

2 Likes

Do you see any submarines capable to attack big tech aircraft carriers?

Sorry for probably taking this militaristic metaphor too far. :pray:

1 Like
  1. If you have a dream you want to pursue, the younger you are when you start pursuing it, the longer runway youā€™ll have to maximize its realization (or more succinctly: ā€œthe best time to plant a tree was 30 years ago. the second-best time is todayā€)

  2. China is by far the most impressive. Iā€™ve been blown away by what weā€™ve seen and learned since we started covering the Chinese tech ecosystem on Acquired.

  3. I was very bearish on the whole ~Sonder idea of taking out leases and repurposing them into something else. Time will tell whoā€™s right in the longterm, but for now I look wrong. :slight_smile:

  4. I think AI displacement is way overhyped, and it will be a long time still before most human jobs in vehicle driving, factories, etc disappear. E.g., see Teslaā€™s fiasco trying to automate Model 3 production.

4 Likes

Marketplaces, obviously! :wink: http://wave.capital

Specifically I think weā€™re still early innings of bringing internet-scale connectivity to most economic markets. E.g., Waveā€™s latest investment in Quoteapro, which is a tech-enabled brokerage for the global scrap metal recycling industry: https://quoteapro.com

3 Likes

My $0.02 having moved from Seattle to SF two years ago to start Wave: Ben is pretty spot on, Seattle is truly an excellent balance of lifestyle and tech ecosystem. That said the Bay Area has two advantages I donā€™t think will change anytime soon:

  1. itā€™s still the very best place in the world to shoot for the moon (maybe with the exception of China). You can still show up here as a nobody, be willing to work your ass off, and the world will open up to you faster than you can imagine. Itā€™s hard as hell, but itā€™s possible. Thatā€™s generally less true in Seattle.

  2. the weather. :wink: :sunny:

3 Likes

Thatā€™s it for @davidrosenthal and I for today - thanks everyone for the great questions!

7 Likes