John Thomas / The Mad Hedgefund Trader

That is a typo in my previous post, I meant to write 71, which as I mentioned would indicate sell.
Thanks for pointing it out.

Yes this makes sense. When stocks become expensive the risk reward becomes high. So the algorithm is skewed towards sell, 70 is about 3/4’s which seems about right.

Their algorithm is a buy low sell high. Even though the S&P 500 seems to be signalling no end to the growth, the higher it goes the more risky the environment is.

Throughout 2019 the algorithm was hovering at 97.

I didn’t know this.
What is it based on? P/E ratios?

A collection of historically corresponding indicators of momentum. Not an exact science at all, though a helpful tool. It checks something like 30 indications per day to stay current on inflows and outflows etc…

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It is on 67 today

https://www.madhedgefundtrader.com/hot-tips/

All options were due to expire yesterday. Majority made gains. His bullish plays on tesla and amzn were losses however he quickly got out of those positions.

3 bonus TAs have appeared, probably as a reward for buying his services after the webinars.

BIIB
MSFT
GLD

The last 2 are copy and paste jobs from previous alerts so there may be text referring to an earlier time period

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Thanks for sharing!

It seems like he has organised some presentations, for free.

See the schedule. It started today.

https://www.madhedge.com/

Does anyone recogise any of the speakers?

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Tried unsuccessfully for 30 mins today and gave up. Just kept on saying waiting for the speaker to start the meeting. Never managed to join.

I had some difficulties accessing also when I tried in the evening.
In the end I managed to catch the last presentation.

Also, Zoom had a global problem today, that may have caused the issues.

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Thanks. Was anything interesting discussed?

Hi all, an update on the 2 presentations I watched by Thomas (Actually they were pre-recorded videos from a previous presentation he had give) as well as part of the Reitmeister presentation. I took a few screenshot of the bets he has mentioned and some slides that I thought could be interesting. Its just a bunch of screenshotted slides on a pdf, but I hope they are of use :slight_smile:

MHF Trader - Some slides.pdf (3.7 MB)

The first slides with the green title box are from Steve Reitmeisters presentation yesterday (See schedule link: https://www.madhedge.com/#schedule) the rest are from John Thomas’ presentations, one today and one yesterday.

Notes on Reitmeister presentation:
-Expects S&P500 to reach 3500
-Better to stick to x1 inverse instead of 3x inverse due to tracking errors in this volatile period (Covid-19). Use x3 for periods of just fall.

Notes on Thomas’ presentations:
-Use any big dips - say S&P500 at 2800, to buy tech.
-For Boeing the buy is at around 100 USD a share.
-He thinks Tesla will be the next 1 Trillion company, however not to buy now, wait for an around 20% dip.
-Buy Gold on dips, 3000 USD target
-Regarding healthcare, he has a biotech presentation tomorrow. However he did mention that they have been selling off lately so he would await weakness to get in.
-The tops are impossible to call because greed is immeasurable. He expects the top in weeks to months

In the calls they are also “giving out” free suscriptions. Actually paying for a suscription would eat up a large chunk of my portfolio and I imagine that that of many other people on FT too.

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Trade alert: Fortinet Expects price to rise

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Thank you for the update :slight_smile:.

In the call yesterday evening he mentioned an “Armaggedon portfolio” of stocks that he suggests holding for the very long-term.
Does anyone know which ones they are?

Also, the presentations/videos have not been uploaded yet, but they are expected to be uploaded here at some point: https://www.madhedge.com/replay-08242020

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Here you go!

Armageddon Portfolio

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Thank you for sharing it :smiley:

2 new trade alerts
SPY to not break 360 by Sep18
PANW to stay above 235

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Some screenshots from yesterdays video on Biotech/Healthcare:

MHF Trader Webinar 26_08.pdf (1.0 MB)

I think it was presented in June, however he said that it is still relevant.
His Covid-19 vaccine bets are:
-Moderna
-Astrazeneca
-Johnson and Johnson
-Pfizer
-Merck

Other notes:
-Though Biotech and Healthcare stocks may also correct, it will be more limited as they have already corrected.
-If they do correct, buy again, we are looking at 100 to 1000% increase in 5 years
-If unsure, buy now one third, then when it goes up or down buy the next one third, etc
-EUR-USD exchange, buy dip. USD will weaken due to exploding deficit
-Africa is becoming the new emerging market
-He suggested a company that sounded like “Christfer”? Looking at a 10 bagger but is already a 5 bagger. Near monopoly. Around 100 USD. No idea which company it is, if anyone know which one he is referring to then please mention. Might it be Pfizer?

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Crispr?

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