Deep Dive: The Curious Case of Metro Bank šŸ¤æ šŸ¦

Race to the bottom!

Iā€™m ummimg and ahhing about either buying a little bit of this or barclays nowā€¦ Barclays is probably the safer optionā€¦ But this is potentially the more rewarding albeit riskier optionā€¦ But

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Whoa! Metro Bank is a wild ride. Makes Tesla look like a seesaw.

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There is no reward here. This is a bank that either gets bought up or fails. Donā€™t be fooled into thinking ā€œstocks always go up in the long runā€ means ā€œthis stock will go up in the long runā€.

You cannot build a bank on ā€œcommunity valuesā€ and ā€œopening more branchesā€ (read: throw money away, at an even higher rate than other banks due to opening hours) and expect it to work in a world where the people who need those things are dying off. The writing was on the wall long ago, when every single other bank began closing branches every single year.

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Fair point! Monzo should buy them out so that we can deposit cash in to the accounts :joy:

I donā€™t think its as dramatic as that. Youā€™ve got a mixture of large ex-owner rapidly selling down stake, a heavy bond getting heavier as the interest rate declines and obviously Coronavirus hitting stocks more broadly. Up until the miscalculation of the bond this was a bank making profit, rapidly opening branches trading at near Ā£20 a share.

Now itā€™s a well capitalised bank trading at 10% of itā€™s book value, to say its oversold would be an understatement.

But of course none of that means anything if we get a liquidity squeeze.

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Just bit the bullet and bought some more, 60% cheaper than my first buy. But could only buy in batches of Ā£100 - anything over this and the order kept rejecting.

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New RNS shows Spaldy Investments Limited have upped their stake from 8.077% to 9.018%.

I just canā€™t see their model work, but maybe I am not the target customer.

American style customer service in crazily oversized branches in super expensive city locations, in a world with ever decreasing margins in retail banking.

Am I missing something?

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Going to flip this on itā€™s head. If they didnā€™t have the 70 branches could you then see their Metro working? How much is a welcoming branch with a lot of passing foot traffic worth in terms of promotion?

I walk past a few in central London, and rarely see people there. Then I think about the rent per square foot of those massive branches, and shudder. A bit further I pass ā€œThe Nedā€, which used to be the Midland Bank and was massive and very opulent, and it just feels like Metro is just a throwback in time.

Closer to home I got a branch from Lloydā€™s, itā€™s a bit small and pokey, could do with a new carpet, but I only go there once every blue moon. Itā€™s nice to have a branch local, but I am not inclined to just visit them unless I got something urgent.

But like I said, I may be missing something.

One of the big differences with a Metro Branch and a Lloyds one is the Metro one has safe deposit boxes which seem to be generating them over Ā£11.1m in 2018 up from Ā£9.1m in 2017. Donā€™t know what it amounts to in 2019 as they have not published the annual report yet. Back in 2017 it was reported it covers 80% rent of stores. Also Lloyds have over 1100 branches vs Metroā€™s 70.

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Interesting. Didnā€™t know that. Useful insight.

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It dipped down to around 85pā€¦never a dull day with Metro :smile:

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Shorters clearing out as Bacal is approaching a takeover quantity?

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I would love to see a short squeeze.

In other Metro news. They have finally opened the Liverpool branch

:partying_face: :tada:

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Legal Entity Identifier: 213800X5WU57YL9GPK89
Metro Bank plc

Roger Farah to step down as Non-Executive Director

Metro Bank (ā€œthe Bankā€) today announces that, after six years on the Board, Roger Farah has decided to step down as a Non-Executive Director with immediate effect.

The Metro Bank Board wishes to thank Roger for his contribution to the Bank. As a result of his departure, Catherine Brown will become Chair of the Remuneration Committee and Monique Melis will become Chair of the Nomination Committee, subject to regulatory approval. Monique will continue in her role as interim Senior Independent Director.

Following the departure of Roger Farah, the Board excluding the Chairman will comprise seven Non-Executive Directors, five of whom are independent, and two Executive Directors.

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They are celebrating opening a Liverpool branch when people are encouraged to stay at home. The future of retail banking is branchless but their fax machines ran out of paper so they didnā€™t get the memo.

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RNS - Steven Cohen is below 3% now.