Tech bubble

Really interesting! I’m surprised that such a high proportion of people think they’re in a bubble. I’d be curious to hear:

  • are there particular tech companies that people think are overvalued?
  • are there any that are undervalued right now?
  • who do you think has the best chance of surviving a crash?

For me it’s -

  1. Facebook because they’re facing some strong headwinds from regulators worrying about privacy & teens seem to be using them less & less. Yes they have Instagram & WhatsApp but the design of those services limits their ability to add features to a certain extent, which means fewer opportunities to advertise. (We’ve discussed them some more before here).
  2. Square because as I’ve mentioned, they’re just getting started.
  3. Amazon because they’re eating the world, becoming increasingly diversified.
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