Nasdaq was up 700pts earlier on weekend quotations. It pared back its gains, only up 200 after this - https://x.com/trendspider/status/1911509141497242066?s=46&t=HSD-JdAammNfifzT4VScjw
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Good, bargains coming soon to a place near you!
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SOLD out both 5X & 3X long positions on the S&P 500 at 8:10AM this morning. Having purchased them at the UK close on Friday just gone as the market was down.
Having weathered the past month now in the green capturing a 22% gain on the drop and a 12% gain on the rebound which hugely protected my main holdings which are simple etf’s. I think overall gold also provided a 9% overall gain. I used:
CASH
GOLD
3X LONG GOLD
5X SHORT S&P 500
3X SHORT S&P 500
5X LONG S&P 500
3X LONG S&P 500
I knew to buy gold even last week as it sold off 3% as the Chinese would be heavy buyers even without the tariff news. Many people in China load up on gold to protect their currency which has been an ongoing trend for a couple years now.
Gold could pause for a lot of this year with slight upticks as interest rates lower.
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APRIL 17 2025 The market is reverting to the downside over the next 3 months. Could even happen over the next 6 months to 1 year from now. Institutional investors are selling rallies and riding the bounces. These are not bull market signals.
Cash is actually still a good place for UK investors to still get 4.5% - 5.71% risk free and inside isa’s.
I’m buying the large down movements into my long term investments around £10K each time even if things fall a further 20%. Which is likely if sentiment amongst large global investors continues.
If the USA is the main reason that China managed to grow so much the past 25 years then surely the USA will be the main preventer of this should the USA pull back from China. That means All-World ETF’s will balance out rather than emerging markets outperforming over the next 5 years.
I still expect property to be the place to be over anything else as having that paid off provides such a level of freedom and options.
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Blah blah blah
Good morning 
-
As usual, we selected the best articles published in the past few days 
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PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Guide to Markets: Goldman Sachs Guide to Bear Markets
US Stocks: What historical returns if you owned no US stocks?
Bonds - Global or Regional: Evidence from bond substitution
Tail Risk: A Quick Guide of some available ETFs
Cash Is Not Enough: How Bond ETFs Protect Your Portfolio
Vanguard on Tariffs: what do they mean for the markets and you
ETFs & PLATFORMS
Slashing FX Costs: In Which Currency Should I Buy ETFs?
What If My Broker Goes Bust: Here’s How To Choose A Safe Stock Broker
Asset Management: Top Giants in 2024!
UK Regulator’s review of trading apps: high-level observations
ETF Survey: Global ETF Investor Survey
Active ETFs: How they revolutionized investing
ACTIVE INVESTING
Video On Wall Street Quants: What do they actually do?
Alternatives: Did Liquid Alternatives Pass the Stress Test?
Small Caps, Big Opportunities: Investing Beyond Large-Cap Stocks
Trend Following: Holy Grail and trend-following
Private Markets: An Overview (120-pages)
WEALTH & LIFESTYLE
Retirements: A guide to retirement withdrawal strategies by Vanguard
Women Finances: What They Need to Do Differently With Their Money
Lifestyles: Why Gen Zs are Taking Micro-Retirements and How You Can Too
Withdrawal Rate: Are Dividends and Income Part of It?
Careers: Optimizing Yours for Longevity
TECH & ECONOMY
Wages in Europe: Average hourly labour costs across Europe
Poland: Can Poland Save Europe?
Imports: Rare earth elements imported to the EU
Millionaires: Top countries attracting the most millionaires
AND ALSO…
US Debt: The Top 20 Countries Holding the Most U.S. Debt
Happiness: We’re wrong about what makes us happy
Embraer: How Brazil built a world-beating aircraft manufacturer
And so much more!
Have a great week-end!
Francesca from BoW Team 
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According to you, everybody can comment Apart from the people who actually get movements correct…
I post here because I’ve been correct here for 6 years in a row. And posting things people are actually doing definitely helps younger investors see what’s going on.
Nobody in the media like CNN or ABC pundits are admitting they are heavily buying Gold Miners or gold and instead they’re talking-up Bitcoin and other distractions to distract the retail investor from making the correct move in each environment.
It’s so wild to see how brazen these top investors are they are complete deception masters and out right liars.
I’m telling the truth of what I am personally doing with structure.
You can’t just buy an index fund that’s 70%+ weighted in overvalued US bubble stocks and think you’ll be fine in ten years. There are other movements happening which are much more solid and sensical.
If you make the wrong moves for multiple years you get left behind.
With the benefit of hindsight!!!
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I was in gold but i sold up last year as i thought it had peaked doh! But def wont go into gold now as way to high… so maybe wait for the next down turn 
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How do you know what they are investing in?
Common sense would say they should talk up what they are investing in… obviously.
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Not fan of gold but I do have a small holding in mineral and financial (MAFL). Estimates reckon it is trading 50% below NAV. Roughly 25% holdings are normally cash but at the moment it’s actual gold. Shares in multiple companies listed and unlisted. Not just gold but heavily into gold. Very small though hence a big spread. No purchase tax.
The dreaded ‘Death Cross’ flashed in the US stock market this week The rare dreaded 'Death Cross' just flashed in the US stock market… and now experts fear a Wall Street crash | Daily Mail Online
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'Looking back over the seven other instances since 2009, we found that one month later, the S&P 500 was lower four times with a median decline of 0.9 percent. However, three months later, the index was higher six times with a median return of 5.9 percent.
‘When looking at six and 12 months later, the data points to a similarly improving situation where the S&P 500 was higher five and six times, respectively, with median gains of 10.1 percent and 15.5 percent, respectively.’
So to summarise, this ‘dreaded’ indicator shows that checks notes it might go up or it might go down.
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That’s how I read it as well 
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Remember also that US funds have fell harder for UK buyers due to the strengthening of the pound Vs the dollar.
Imo we have a perfect storm of falling stock prices and a falling dollar, creating an attractive entry point.
Whether this will continue is anyone’s guess, but remember we have already fell alot from the highs.
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@101
Well?
Oh god being blocked again. Some people just expect to block anything that doesn’t suit there narrative. Pathetic.
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