Having worked in the press for the best part of two decades, Iād agree.
No journalist Iāve ever met sets out to twist peopleās thinking even though some papers have clear political leanings.
But what we try to do is to create a context in which other people can think and make up their own minds. I think thereās a subtle but important difference there.
Thereās a public interest in examining the chancellorās previous statements, especially when itās the longest time a new government has taken to bring forward a budget in decades.
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There is no denying that stocks are at elevated pe levels currently, Warren Pies on the last TCAF episode basically said that the stock market was pulling forward all the gains of the upcoming rate cuts, is this another one if those be fearful when others are greedy moments?
On the compound they talk about 3% per year being virtually impossible, the only way to get that is to have a GFC style crash, pulling the average down over that period.
There is no doubting alot of stocks are probably expensive over in the US and that AI optimism has fueled some of the rally, whether weāre in or about to form a bubble, no one knows. What we do know is there will definitely be heavy down days, just when and how bad, who knows
Yes, I wish I could remember but Raman showed the periods of when a market crash usually happens not an exact date just when it corrects. He goes over like 5%,10% the the 35% crashās as in how common have they been over a set period .
I really canāt remember if I posted that video of not but I remember speaking about this on another topic.
If I find the video at some point Iāll add it here
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Sorry if my comment seemed arrogant. I didnāt mean to come across as better than anyone here. In fact, that āyouā was directed at anyone who is buying popular companies at a high price, not someone specific. What I know is what I learned from making mistakes.
no no, maybe what ive said was misunderstood. I was looking at the tweet, about āmost people get interested when everyone else isā
I think a lot of that is probably just down to time constraints, a lot of people either donāt have a lot of time to do research, or just arenāt that interested in doing research. so they follow the crowed, the stock bob talks about in the pub, or whatever pops up in the news etc.
a lot of people probably donāt know āwhyā they invest in any particular company (im guilty of this often) outside of āI like itā or it being popular or just a company they know. and often likely donāt even know whats considered a high price.
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Stocks vs Bonds: Bonds are riskier? 2.7% Withdrawal Rate? Hereās What Ben Felix and Scott Cederberg Might Be Getting Wrong
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