What is going on today? - Megathread

Lets squeeze some more out of it.

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2025 - 2028 Buy a property like a 3 bed detached with at least 1/4 acre of land. Within 3-5 years this will be entirely out of reach for even two salaries. REASON: Nobody in power has had the balls to make sure desirable property has been built the past 15 years. Forcing the prices up to numbers only the upper classes can purchase. There is a human instinctive reason for many to live & thrive with this lifestyle.

2025 - 2030 A chunky percentage of money in equities in both the US and the UK will leave the market and be placed into property and paying off mortgages for Gen X, Millenial and even Gen Z. REASON: Financial freedom feels good. Debt is dumb, cash is king, and the paid-off home mortgage has taken the place of the BMW as the status symbol of choice Do not underestimate the effect Dave Ramsay has had on the western world.

And what’s next for the markets?

Three words. Dividend Growth Funds. REASON: Much of these immense rally gains will balance out into quality dividend & growth companies. This is now a senior stock pickers market.

Bitcoin will sketchily hit $100,000 by January 2025 then capitulate into the $50k’s area by 2026 and essentially fluctuate in the $20k’s for a few years.

S&P 500 is staying at 5700 - 6400 for at least 6 months.

I’m staying fully invested until after the new president is sworn in.

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I can not see an easier swing trade out there than Bitcoin going to $100,000 and OnOn stock going to $58 - both by January 2025.

This is not financial advice.

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Isn’t this out of your reach already?

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No better feeling in the world than being debt free. My shares can and will collapse but at least I’ll have a roof over my head.

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If everything goes according to plan, I will join the club between 2038(best case) and 2046(worst case)!
It’s 14-22 years
 But I have a plan :innocent:

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Good evening :last_quarter_moon_with_face::full_moon_with_face::first_quarter_moon_with_face: -

As usual, we selected the best articles published in the past few days :point_down::

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
:arrow_right: Guides: JP Morgan Guide to Financial Markets
:arrow_right: Returns: The S&P 500 is on track for best year since 1995
:arrow_right: Strategy: Three Robust Risk Parity Strategies
:arrow_right: Living off Your Portfolio: Decumulation Portfolio Strategies
:arrow_right: Markets: Stocks, Rates & Gold: What’s Going On Today?
:arrow_right: Active ETFs: JPMorgan launches a European JEPI - its largest ETF

ETFs
:arrow_right: ETF Closures: Global Amundi ETF delisting & what happens next
:arrow_right: Best MSCI World ETFs: Our Review
:arrow_right: Equity & Bond ETFs: WisdomTree launches a global multi-asset ETF
:arrow_right: Active ETFs: JPMorgan launches a European JEPI - its largest ETF

ACTIVE INVESTING
:arrow_right: Equity Returns: Equity Sources Of Return By Country
:arrow_right: Bitcoin In A Portfolio: Our Guide
:arrow_right: Factors: Review of Quality, Value & Momentum Multi-Factor Index
:arrow_right: Private Assets: Wall Street Math Wizards Decode Private-Market Returns

PLATFORMS
:arrow_right: Interactive Brokers: How To Identify Stock Exchanges In Europe?
:arrow_right: Financial Advice: Should Clients Change Advisors When They Retire?

WEALTH & LIFESTYLE
:arrow_right: Personal Finance: 14 Lessons On Money & Life
:arrow_right: Retirement: Harvard Analysis on Retiring Without Regrets
:arrow_right: Portfolio Withdrawals: How to Calculate Safe Withdrawal Rate
:arrow_right: Wealth: When Making More Makes Your Financial Anxiety Worse
:arrow_right: Taxes: Comparison of Income Tax Rates in Europe in 2024

AND ALSO
:arrow_right: Work From Home: What’s really behind Tech’s return-to-office?
:arrow_right: Careers: Ex-Google Recruiter Reveals 8 Secrets Recruiters Don’t Tell
:arrow_right: Society: Emotional Wellbeing - Singles vs Mated People
:arrow_right: Books: Your Money or Your Life - Our Review

Have a great Week-End!

Francesca from BoW Team :biking_man: :biking_woman:t3:

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At least it’s honest:

So he’s done everything that we’re not meant to do which is invest in single company shares :rofl::joy:.

Sometimes, you get this kind of luck, but it’s also a matter of how firmly you hold on to your convictions.

99% of his wealth going back into society that is amazing omaha is going to do really well out of his man

Sadly he recently changed his plans, rather than going to BMGF it’s now going to a new foundation administered by his kids. They have pretty mixed priorities, but don’t seem particularly effective so it’s probably best to set expectations low, most of Buffett’s impact is probably in the past.

It’s still absolutely incredible what he’s done though, he’s donated $39bn already which very roughly might look like saving the life of everyone in Bristol, superhero stuff.

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It’s starting to happen again
 Bitcoin madness everywhere, people talking about leverage into crypto. People offering 1BTC to 1 follower on X if it reaches 100k USD

Warren Buffet hoarding cash


Company valuations quite high, economy not improving as quickly as the stock prices. I don’t know when is going to happen, because no one knows, but I am being fearful now. Still invested and investing, but not as hard.

Geopolitical landscape doesn’t look great either, but that might have less impact than people expect.
I am really optimistic in general, but I see too much optimism in risky assets.
Not financial advice though :sweat_smile:

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110% agree, have been cautious for quite some time, to my detriment and went to 100% treasuries way to soon, now back to 50% and down on the stocks I bought, you couldn’t write this sh1t :joy::rofl:.

But it feels euphoric, everyone is bullish, the charts look straight up and we all know how this one ends.

Buffett says be fearful when others are greedy.

I have the popcorn ready and the fallout show could start tonight with Nvda earnings, then again it might not :grimacing:.

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If the wealthy do not need to sell their assets then the price of assets can stay high & grow. The sad reality now is that the assets growing the fastest are ones which put you out of work.

There’s been a huge panic buy into nvidia for the same reason I felt in December 2022 before the hype took off, I realised that the owners of businesses are all going to use the a.i. to simplify their lives - not yours. Other futurists caught wind and knew they had to buy to at least get something if it was going to crush them.

There is going to be the mother of all reality checks at some point and I currently do not hear ANY talk from governments on how to support working people through a disastrous recession of failing businesses and unemployment. Even employment right now feels like unemployment for most people due to not earning enough.

I genuinely believe I am right with what I said in 2020 - you have 5 years to get wealthy(ish) and function outside of the system, like owning your property outright, having zero debt, having above average skills, because very very very very soon you will not be able to compete hard enough compared to the ones who have just fleeced the system the past couple decades.

How can you truly compete when the roads go from 70mph to 20mph, a.i. camera fines all over the country growing at a faster rate than doctors, endless endless bureaucracy in day to day life, doubling of insurances with less perks than before, less perks when flying, less opportunities after brexit regarding multiple sectors with one major one being less work travel opportunity, higher energy costs in day to day life and so much policing creeping fully into your personal life to a point where simply speaking can land you with a record.

You’re seeing public sector strikes, a fleecing of the private sector tax and pensions, a land grab against hard working farmers
 this is worse than the 1970s.

Many people currently think it is not that bad but that’s likely because they haven’t actually tried to do something and realised the fish bowl seems considerably smaller and those glass walls have closed in tight.

The average person will reply with sayings like ‘blah blah life goes on’ or ‘you must be fun at a party’
 etc etc. What most people will not understand is that so many others are also screaming out loud to the majority of the public actually telling them there are significant issues which are larger than issues which can be swept under the carpet, only a fool would not at least take a peak for themselves.

London looks tired.
The labour government have given up on the private sector.
Money is at full blown speculation of non producing assets.
War now seems inevitable.

But yeah, jokes are still funny, lots of people are still great looking, food tastes awesome, family brings happiness for the most part.

But £30k salary in the UK is absolute poverty. Even a respectable man like Dave Ramsay has stated this, it’s below the poverty line. And £36k is the average so this is serious and systemic. I am not at all hopeful for the UK, there simply are not more distractions available to keep the public unknowing.

That’s what’s rly going on today.

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What are you investing in with this mindset?

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Nubank is about to enter the UK.

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