What is going on today? - Megathread

Financial advisors across the board - BUY BONDS

People who knew not to bring large amounts of bonds to a stock market party

It’s likely the next couple of decades are all about phase 2 of the internets capability so that trajectory is unlikely to be derailed for any meaningful amount of time, and it is wise to remember to find a piece of that growth for yourself - these CEO’s and other wealthy ghosts of the world will continue to use A.I. to buy back their free time to do things in life they actually WANT to do, passion projects. It is important not to get left behind. The government are not being forthcoming about how many jobs are being lost and going to disappear altogether.

I understand the job numbers are not correctly reflecting this and that is largely down to the fact that I know there are currently lots of jobs, but those jobs are paying £12 per hour in a £50 per hour environment. You can’t bring £12 per hour to a £50 per hour party. That is quickly going to unfold over the next 5 years and become even more glaringly apparent than it currently is.

I personally believe that not’ investing in the areas which are wiping out jobs is a tremendous risk over the medium to long term (5-20 years). I simply have no idea how the UK can possibly justify £12 per hour today let alone 5 years from now. It’s a disaster.

Something is going to happen in property in the UK between 3-10 years from now. The situation is completely unsustainable now and has entered bubble territory, wild long lending is stretching things out and prolonging the inevitable and I believe nobody is doing anything smart enough to prevent the inevitable.

It’s only happened twice in 70 years and I am calling a property catastrophe 3-10 years from now.

Unless (1) You believe the government is talented enough to overt the destruction of jobs lost to AI, benefiting the people instead of removing their prospects. (2) The government fixing the housing situation allowing work to pay whilst also having free time as a person to be a person. (3) The rising of the minimum wage to reflect a balance between outlandish company profits and the worker who actually done the work for that to happen. (4) To fix the healthcare system allowing working people to actually use it - before they get sick not after.

…but you’ve already seen how they dealt with brexit…

100% of this can only be achieved if the school system dramatically changes and the schools become more like talent based facilities allowing actual skills to flourish and direct pathways to go into work fields - completely moving away from this weird system where 1,400 people go for the same job and only 3 get it…

2025 - 2035 I’m calling the decade of the property. If this doesn’t get dramatically fixed that then leaves huge swathes of gen z stuck in the position that many millenials are in today. And if I’m judging anything by what I see with my own eyes, there does not seem to be many building supply lorries on the roads currently…

I think the S&P 500 is peaking out.

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Oh god he’s back!

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Seem to grab your attention every time.

I take it you followed the crowd and went the green energy investment route with the tone of your words.

Another rambling word salad. I thought you were going to disappear until you made your first trillion?

No one cares what you think.

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I agree!!

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I do, even if I often disagree with almost every word. I’ve actually come to value @101’s posts precisely because I rarely agree. It’s good to challenge your own thinking.

Plus I’m guilty of the odd rambling word salad too! :laughing:

Let’s keep it civil folks.

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Let me know when it’s time to start panicking

Good evening :last_quarter_moon_with_face::full_moon_with_face::first_quarter_moon_with_face: -

As usual, we selected the best articles published in the past few days :point_down::

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
:arrow_right: Asset Classes: Returns in 2024
:arrow_right: Markets: Oaktree on whether this is now a bubble
:arrow_right: Allocation: Global Diversification is Still Working
:arrow_right: Currency Hedging: The Best Strategies for FX Hedging
:arrow_right: Portable Alpha: lessons from past implementations

ETFs
:arrow_right: Index selection: UBS guide to selecting the right index
:arrow_right: Synthetic ETFs: more competition is coming
:arrow_right: Managed Futures ETFs: Invesco to launch an ETF

ACTIVE INVESTING
:arrow_right: We’re in 2035: AQR Looks Back Over the Last 10 Years
:arrow_right: Non-U.S. Small Caps: Fama-French SMB Factor Performance
:arrow_right: Alternative Credit: Comprehensive Guide from CFA Institute
:arrow_right: Dividends: a feature, nothing more
:arrow_right: Volatility Strategies: a guide

WEALTH & LIFESTYLE
:arrow_right: Early Retirement: Retired in their 30s with no regrets
:arrow_right: Personal Development: Four Life Questions to Ask Yourself
:arrow_right: Retirement Planning: Go It Alone or Hire An Advisor?
:arrow_right: FOMO: When Your Friends Are Richer Than You
:arrow_right: Purpose: What No One Tells You About Purpose and Happiness

TECH & ECONOMY
:arrow_right: Capitalism: We Are Headed Towards a System of National Capitalism
:arrow_right: Europe: Patchwork of Pension Systems and Budget Constraints
:arrow_right: France: Can France become a global AI powerhouse?
:arrow_right: Creativity: when we stop creating, we die.
:arrow_right: South America: Javier Milei One Year In!

AND ALSO
:arrow_right: Identity Crisis: How Defining Yourself by Your Career Is a Problem
:arrow_right: Sustainability: Who Profits From Saving the Planet?
:arrow_right: Bikes: Challenge for Made-in-America Bikes? Made-in-China Parts

And so much more!

Have a great week-end!

Francesca from BoW Team :biking_man: :biking_woman:t3:

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Heading towards the Truss budget fiasco! £vs$ went alot lower than this however.

Reeves has alot to answer for! Laughing stock at the moment!

What’s that famous phrase?

Be greedy when others are fearful, easier said than done when you buy and it drops further each time :sob::rofl:.

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:rofl: so true!!!

Is he really challenging your thinking?! It’s basically rambling hardly challenging.

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https://x.com/JavierBlas/status/1878830699354165329

OIL MARKET: After meeting President Trump in Mar-a-Lago, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says Canada should prepare for 25% tariffs starting on Jan 20 on all US-bound products, including on crude oil.

“I’m not expecting any exemptions,” she told reporters | #OOTT #Canada

Most US-refined crude is imported, especially from Alberta’s oil sands. Gas prices going to go up, bigly.

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Not one from UK,I find that surprising

What does the sale of Freetrade mean for our investments?

It means all your shares will be sold for a fairly low price, unless you got in early.

Sorry, i meant our investments in the stock market, not in freetrade itself

Nothing. It will continue as is.

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